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07.02.2019

Twitter scared investors by reporting. Shares fell by 7%

On Thursday, February 7, microblogging network operator Twitter introduced the release for the IV quarter. Reporting is disappointing, triggering a 7.5% drop in stocks at the United States premarket.

Formally, analysts' consensus estimates for earnings per share (EPS) and revenue were exceeded. Net income rose to $ 255 million from $ 91 million in the same period a year earlier. The adjusted EPS, that is, excluding one-time factors, was $ 0.31 compared with a consensus of $ 0.25. Revenue increased from $ 732 million to $ 909 million, with an average expectation of $ 867 million.

However, the number of active users per month (MAU) decreased by 5% compared to the third quarter and by 9% compared to the same period a year earlier, to 321 million. This was the second fall in a row and is a warning factor. After the first quarter, Twitter intends to replace the published metric with an indicator of the average number of monetized active users per day. According to the top management of the company, the new indicator more accurately reflects the situation in the business.

Another worrying factor is the Twitter forecast. In the quarter, the company expects revenue in the range of $ 715-775 million. The average point of the range - $ 745 million - is noticeably below the consensus of $ 765 million. Online advertising market is now essentially owned by Facebook and Google. In the foreseeable future, Twitter is unlikely to particularly increase the market share, perhaps its reduction.

Given the high values ​​of Twitter’s comparative multipliers, stocks could be under pressure. Important support for the securities is in the region of $ 31.